Oscillations of the baseline of solar magnetic field and solar irradiance on a millennial timescale

V. V. Zharkova, S. J. Shepherd, S. I. Zharkov & E. Popova Scientific Reports volume 9, Article number: 9197 (2019) Abstract Recently discovered long-term oscillations of the solar background magnetic field associated with double dynamo waves generated in inner and outer layers of the Sun indicate that the solar activity is heading in the next three decades (2019–2055) to a Modern grand minimum similar to Maunder one. On the other hand, a reconstruction of solar total irradiance suggests that since the Maunder minimum there is an increase in the cycle-averaged total solar irradiance (TSI) by a value of about 1–1.5 …

Understand Climate Science Before Making Climate Policy

George C. Marshall Institute Roger W. Cohen, May 14, 2010 One of the most remarkable dynamics in the global warming debate is the response to the question: “Tell me, what is the case for significant anthropogenic global warming?” The responses tend to fall into three categories: One is appeal to authority: “All scientific societies agree that carbon dioxide emissions are causing (fill in the blanks)” Second is the “It doesn’t matter” response: “Even if the science is wrong, it is still important to do something about it” (that “something” is always big and expensive). I’m going to call this the …

Einstein on the Quantum Theory of Radiation – 1917

A. Einstein The formal similarity of the curve of the chromatic distribution of black-body radiation and the Maxwell velocity-distribution is too striking to be hidden for long. Download PDF This browser does not support PDFs. Please download the PDF to view it..

A Short Summary of Soon, Connolly and Connolly

By Andy May Soon, Connolly and Connolly (2015) is an excellent paper (pay walled, for the authors preprint, go here) that casts some doubt about two critical IPCC AR5 statements, quoted below: The IPCC, 2013 report page 16: “Equilibrium climate sensitivity is likely in the range 1.5°C to 4.5°C (high confidence), extremely unlikely less than 1°C (high confidence), and very unlikely greater than 6°C (medium confidence).” Page 17: “It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and …

Re-evaluating the role of solar variability on Northern Hemisphere temperature trends since the 19th century

Willie Soon, Ronan Connolly, Michael Connolly Abstract Debate over what influence (if any) solar variability has had on surface air temperature trends since the 19th century has been controversial. In this paper, we consider two factors which may have contributed to this controversy: Several different solar variability datasets exist. While each of these datasets is constructed on plausible grounds, they often imply contradictory estimates for the trends in solar activity since the 19th century. Although attempts have been made to account for non-climatic biases in previous estimates of surface airtemperature trends, recent research by two of the authors has shown …

Climate Change, Tropospheric Warming, and Stratospheric Cooling

Jamal Munshi Sonoma State University Date Written: August 25, 2018 Abstract Climate models predict that rising atmospheric CO2 will simultaneously warm the troposphere and cool the stratosphere. This combination of tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling is found in the observational data over a period of rising atmospheric CO2. Although strong correlations between these time series are found in the source data, the correlations do not survive into the detrended series at annual or five-year time scales. The absence of detrended correlation implies that the correlations seen in the source data derive from shared trends and not from responsiveness at annual …

Study: ‘Back radiation’ not a component of climate change

Principia Scientific Published on September 2, 2019 Written by John O’Sullivan 2019 study published in Geophysical Research Letters (GRL) affirms Downward Longwave Radiation (DLR) “cannot be considered an independent component of the surface energy budget.” The conclusion affirms the science of researchers at Principia Scientific International. The paper, ‘Does Surface Temperature Respond to or Determine Downwelling Longwave Radiation?‘ was published on February 19, 2019. The Abstract reads: Abstract Downward longwave radiation (DLR) is often assumed to be an independent forcing on the surface energy budget in analyses of Arctic warming and land‐atmosphere interaction. We use radiative kernels to show that …

Cause cannot follow effect

Bud Bromley | January 23, 2016 Abstract: “The hypothesis that the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide is related to observable changes in the climate is tested using modern methods of time-series analysis. The results confirm that average global temperature is increasing, and that temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide are significantly correlated over the past thirty years. Changes in carbon dioxide content lag those in temperature by five months.”  (Note date: 22 February 1990) http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1990Natur.343..709K Nature 343, 709 – 714 (22 February 1990); doi:10.1038/343709a0 Coherence established between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature CYNTHIA KUO, CRAIG LINDBERG & DAVID J. THOMSON Mathematical Sciences Research Center, AT&T Bell Labs, …

Cooling of Atmosphere Due to CO2 Emission

G. V. CHILINGAR, L. F. KHILYUK, and O. G. SOROKHTIN Introduction Traditional anthropogenic theory of currently observed global warming states that release of carbon dioxide into atmosphere (partially as a result of utilization of fossil fuels) leads to an increase in atmospheric temperature because the molecules of CO2 (and other greenhouse gases) absorb the infrared radiation from the Earth’s surface. This statement is based on the Arrhenius hypothesis, which was never verified (Arrhenius, 1896). The proponents of this theory take into consideration only one component of heat transfer in atmosphere, i.e., radiation. Yet, in the dense Earth’s troposphere with the …

97% Consensus is false propaganda – Scientists for 100 years, can’t decide between warming or new ice age?

They say there is a 97% consensus on climate change. What is the consensus, exactly? Answer by James Matkin, former Director at Bank of Canada (1992-1995) Updated Jan 24 Bunk. There is no such consensus. In fact there was a serious divide between the IPCC scientists and the UN on the science of human caused climate change. The UN played the scientists for fools! The 97% derives from a survey sent to 10,257 people of which the 3,146 respondents were further whittled down to 77 self selected climate “scientists “ of which 75 were judged to agree that human induced …